Tropical Storm Melissa Grows Stronger As It Heads In the Direction of Jamaica
Hurricane the storm is predicted to escalate to a uncommon Category 5 storm as it shifts toward the Caribbean island, causing deadly rapid inundation and mudslides.
This weather system, which had winds of up to 120 mph as of 0600 Greenwich Mean Time, is presently veering northwest in the Caribbean region and is expected to hit the coast by midweek, as reported by meteorological authorities.
Alerts of power cuts and structural damage have been announced as this storm produces up to 30 inches of rain and coastal flooding as high as 4m above typical tides. "Seek shelter now," locals have been urged.
Melissa is the 13th cyclone in this year's Atlantic storm period, which normally finishes in late autumn.
Most Intense Hurricane Danger
A Category 5 cyclone is the most powerful category, with wind speeds of at least 157mph.
Even though this storm is expected to reduce in intensity to a category four hurricane before reaching Jamaica, authorities said there was "almost no noticeable change in the general consequences" upon reaching the coast, and that the hurricane will be "just as powerful" when it hits the country.
Critical Preparations
With tropical storm-strength wind and rainfall already expected long before it crosses Jamaica's central region - possibly even the national capital - alerts state that "safety measures need to be finalized quickly".
"Several days of destructive gusts and intense precipitation have begun and will cause devastating and dangerous sudden floods and many mudslides," urged weather authorities.
The nation's leader the statesman stated: "I understand that there are numerous residents who are worried, who are deeply troubled, and appropriately: you should be concerned.
"Yet the most effective method to manage worry and any nervousness and concern is to be prepared."
Residents are being told to fortify their houses with protective bags and timber panels, and to gather basic necessities.
Regional Effects
Alerts are also active for parts of the neighboring country such as the primary urban center, the Dominican Republic and the eastern part of Cuba, where the hurricane is projected to bring similar effects by the middle portion of the coming week.
Landslides currently triggered by the hurricane have resulted in two fatalities in the country, according to local authorities.
Expected Path
This weather system is forecast to cross Cuba by the middle of the week before traveling via the Antillas Mayores and out into the Atlantic.
By the moment it reaches Cuba, it is forecast to have weakened to a third-level cyclone.
Climate Context
While it is difficult to associate individual weather events to global warming, experts say it is resulting in meteorological events more prevalent and more severe.
Increased sea temperatures produce more moisture in the environment, contributing to the formation of tropical cyclones.
Ahead of the start of this year's Atlantic hurricane season, meteorological authorities projected above-normal activity, citing elevated ocean temperatures and likely stronger monsoon activity around West Africa - where hurricanes frequently develop.